Here is the Quins V Glaws Preview from a Cherry and White perspective - it's a bit of a long one...
Source: [
gloucesterrugby.net]
Quins V Glaws Match Preview.
« on: October 30, 2012, 09:26:25 PM »
A much earlier match Preview than usual ; but with Halloween upon us and the positive vibes that are reverberating around the area after our momentous victory over Leicester Tigers, the anticipation of what is a real “ top of the table clash” is too much for me to leave this week match Preview until later in the week!.
The memory of our latest achievement is still very fresh, and it gives us another bench mark to build upon. Without going over the game plan from Saturday again; the one thing that really struck home above everything else is the closeness of the team and the willingness for everyone involved in the squad to put their bodies on the line to achieve what at times looked almost the unachievable. If there were any doubters still in town then they must surely have been near enough silenced. This team is set for even greater triumphs and next weekend is perhaps the greatest challenge of the season so far.
I have watched the Quins match against Irish(yes I admit to this) three times; albeit somewhat fast play through to replay the salient points. Irish were very unlucky and played the better rugby IMO. Certainly the Irish backs have given us some very pertinent clues as to how the Quins line can be penetrated and it took a very robust performance by Hopper in particular to counter the running lines that Irish threw at them.
The reason Irish lost this match overall was the depth of their line which was over focused on the attacking aspects of their game plan as opposed to an effective adjustment to a flatter defensive line. It gave too much time and space to Botica ball to hand and Hopper (who looks to be extremely dangerous in midfield) to find the gaps in the Irish defence.
Hopper has just signed a contract extension with Quins today and has been one of the find of the last season and is a player who we need to contain on Saturday. More on that subject later.
The game will start and finish up front on Saturday and that is where we have to win. We played the most balanced game of the season so far in League terms between forward and backs and this weekend coming it will be all about attrition. Quins will focus their efforts on the rolling maul. It is obvious to any DOR that Glaws have a weakness if anywhere this term in counteracting the maul once it starts to move in our direction.
Where we are going wrong is in peeling off both sides in marginal retreat and failing to drop behind the maul in the right body positions and in the right degree of unison. I have watched this carefully and from studying several replays this weekend. It seems to be a consistent weakness in our game this season and we have to find a solution to it before Saturday. If we can do this then we will stop them in their tracks; because I really do believe that it will be their obvious tactic, and without it we can IMO beat them hands down in every other aspect of the game.
ND prepared the boys for Tigers because we were without JH; and this led to the most successful line out series of the last two seasons in terms of creativity. It threw Leicester completely and whoever masterminded it deserves a lot of the accolades.
When the maul is formed, teams have worked out how to disrupt us. What we have to do is go back to basics and I hope that Hogg and Windo will spend a lot of time on this part of the forward defensive game this week. Quins will defend the rolling maul by crabbing. They bind tightly and shift the forward momentum of the opposition sideways. They have done this a few times this season and today was no exeption. Glaws do not need to play them at this game; in fact we need to be prepared to ruck more than Maul even with the bigger back row that we will have out next weekend assuming K makes another miraculous recovery.; by using 36 and Cowan in a particular to forage from their back three being hit hard from the high kick from Freddie burns.....and it needs to be high and not too deep into their defence.
The key is to retain possession when we win the ruck and drive forward , and to alternate the forward momentum and to keep a balanced option out wide to give us the element of surprise where we go right or left twice in succession, when in reality they will be expecting us to alternate things. IMO we need to be driving down the middle of the pitch as much as possible and I would like to see FB kicking some very high balls down the middle with our line actually hanging back to see what destruction this will cause to Brown if he is drawn forward and hit hard by Q and or K and Ben Morgan who I am pleased to say has be been released back to Glaws for this Saturday from the England set up.
Mike Brown is also being released back to Quins and if fit will start. I am not sure having said that that he is 100 percent after his injury on Saturday but if he plays we need to place it high and knock him as hard as possible and as early as possible. Whether he starts at 15 or not then we need to employ this tactic IMO.
If we can control the game at 10 and kick very high and not too far ahead then Brown( or his replacement) and his wingers will get sucked into a mid channel tunnel which we can exploit to the full.
I watched the Quins back three from Saturday again this evening. They are really very susceptible if drawn into the middle of the pitch; especially Brown, who took a couple of “good knocks” against Irish. He will not relish K or Q in particular chasing him down at speed; and with Jimmy needing to play as an extra flanker (without getting dragged into the thick of it too much) and 36 being the one who needs to get to the break down when we hit their back three first then we can cause them nightmares in the channel behind the forwards as long as we keep to that channel.
I really do believe this tactic would cause Quins a lot of problems. Once they twig onto this, then their Back Row forwards and Centre's will also be getting pulled away from the committing to the mauls; and this will give FB the opportunity to run a line in the same channel as opposed to the high kick. The support will be there for either tactic.Robsahw who has been appointed as England captain by Lancaster will almost certainly be rested this weekend even if his eye recovers in time after training with England this week. They will not risk the England Captain before the Fiji match; so things are looking even brighter for us in the Back Row contest!.
To counter the Quins rolling maul we need we need to be peeling off in numbers and hitting the front of the maul in numbers as well ; and hitting it centrally and with a lot more momentum than we are currently achieving. It has to be about co-ordination. At present we peel off and almost join the maul again at the side and without any coordinated momentum between the players.
For a pack of our mobility and physicality we have been made to look second rate this season in this area, and Saturday is the day for us to put this behind us. We may give a few meters to them but they will not have controlled momentum if everyone releases more quickly and hits the maul in unison in a central position. It will also force their ball carrier to either go to ground or to form the ruck again which if we have the regained momentum will cause them difficulties and totally disrupt their rolling maul.
On to the match itself. If last Saturdays game was an epic then this weekend’s match promises to be a total war of attrition for 50 minutes where the winner of the upfront battle and the back row battle will have the momentum for the last 30 minutes of the game which will IMO open right out into our backs hands if we play the right tactics. Our forwards need to;
a) Work on countering the rolling maul and b) Dominate the set piece. If the forward exchanges open out into a more expansive match then we will run then into the ground in no uncertain terms and this means they will want to keep it as tightly controlled as they can up front.
We have seen our front five take a few packs to pieces at times this season.
We gave Northampton a torrid time eventually at home in this area and we have been pretty solid against most opposition front fives this season until the Tigers match. For me Harden struggled again and this made things difficult for Woody who had to contend with an in form Cole who had the momentum because his loose head was giving RH total grief on the other side of the scrum on our put in.
IMO Knight really must be given a start against Quins. Marler is a very good ball carrier and he will be missed by Quins in this area .In the set piece his likely replacement can be totally disrupted by Knight and we will also have to get stuck into Buchanan.
If Harden is selected to start then we will not cause them problems in the first 50 minutes of the match on their put in; and IMO we might struggle to create a dominant platform on our own scrum. On the other hand if SK starts then he will (with a smaller hooker in Edmonds) get into the right position to get at Buchanan and to drive through their loose head. With Woody on the other side we can cause Quins a lot of problems and I hope that TW works with this three as a combination this week.
Wood can get the better of Johnston. Johnston’s technique is to try and scrummage inwards. The front three need to let his momentum be his own downfall and ultimately that of Quins on Saturday. By binding exceptionally tightly and by Woody timing his nudge with Knight then we can drive up through both of the Quins props and Knight will get straight between the Hooker and whoever replaces the injured Marler; who is going to be out for at least 4 weeks with a torn hamstring.Johnston is not flavour of the month with some referees at the moment and he will have to watch his P's and Q's this weekend. Woody owes him one as well!
This can happen at every Quins scrum and I do believe if we get the selection right, and work on this combination this week that Knight will be the man of the match. This is his chance to really catch the eye of the Saxons set up. It is also an opportunity for him to step up to another run of the Tight Head ladder as a match day starter; and he really should be given this opportunity on Saturday.
Harden and Murphy can come on later and finish them off; but for me it really has to be Woody and Knight at 1 and 3 against Quins.
In the Second Row we will be looking most likely at Will James; who as someone else said, was the unsung hero against Leicester. As I said in my review of Saturdays match I think WJ is having the best season so far at Glaws since joining us from Pirates. His work rate was awesome last week and he has shown an incredible work rate all season when he has been on the pitch. Some face up by WJ ( along with everyone else) to the front five of the Tigers; and to last the full 80 is no mean feat for any front 5 player; and this clearly illustrates that he is in superb physical condition.
JH is reported to be training with the Scottish set up this week assuming his rib injury has improved enough to allow this; and assuming this is the case and he won’t be available this weekend then it is most likely going to be a repeat of last week’s starting 8 as long as K recovers and Savage is 100 per percent fit. Quins will almost definitely be without Robson and I do believe if we show the same creativity as we did last week and also keep things simple at the front of the line out we can win 100 percent of our line outs against Quins who are not going to pose the same disruptive threats as Tigers did last Saturday.
Even if K is not recovered for the Quins match I do believe we have the edge over their back row; and Robshaw’s eye is still semi-closed according to reports; and although he is training with England this week he will most likely not be available for the match. Whether he is or not; I really fancy our chances of outplaying their Back Row; but we have to sort out the Rolling mauls once and for all as already suggested. If we can do this successfully (and I pretty sure a lot of time is being spent on this aspect of our game plan this week) then we can win the Back Row battle against Quins. I am hoping that FB does employ the high ball tactic down the middle of the pitch; and if Q and Co can get up quickly then we can dominate the game by intimidating them in defence under the very high ball.
We tackled like demons against Leicester and I do believe they are a stronger forward unit than Quins and IMO we have nothing at all to fear from them in the Back Row or Forward exchanges.
I believe we will win the forward battle this weekend and we then have to release the backs. I have said I think FB needs to kick high when he has the space and time to release out back row into their back three cover and we have to hit them hard in midfield as well. Hopper looks to be very dangerous and is getting more confident as the season develops. Having said that the defensive/attacking balance that we have with Tinds and 36 is proving to be very effective and I see us having the class and experience as well as the physical advantage in the Centre to punch the best holes we have done so far this season.
We need to run straight strong lines this weekend and look to cut back in again using the Back Row in support.
I am unsure at scrum half for this one; but with Care’s threat with ball in hand we will probably be better with Jimmy’s extra experience and physical presence to counter effect his ability to strike holes I am thinking Jimmy has to start this one; but I would expect Robson to play a part as well. There is a very good chance however that Karl Dickson will start for Quins this weekend and he doesn't link uom as well with Botica as care does IMO.
We do not have a lot to worry too much about Botica this weekend IMO. Brave words, I know; and yes, everyone has been raving over the New Zealander’s current form since he has been given the number 10 shirt; but I do think his game is very predictable and I don’t see him as the strongest fly-half in defensive terms.IMO Freddie has the class and skill to win this confrontation and between the Back Row and 36 we have the strength and speed to turn him inside out and if we pressurise the half backs then I don’t see him getting a lot of space and time to express himself in arguably his best role as a fine player with his tactical kicking.
The danger we pose at Centre can really be released against Quins. If available then I expect Trinder to be part of the squad and if we can cause damage to their back line on Saturday (and we will) then he should be on in the second half and be looking to make good yardage and to get the ball out to the two wingers who are most likely to be Sinbad and Monahan. Monahan is due a match and with Charlie being retained by England from reports then he will be raring to go not having had the opportunity to play last weekend. SM have been the find of the season along with K and his direct running will cause Quins a lot of problems in the second half in particular.
On the other wing then Sinbad is going to do what he has been doing all season. His class needs no discussion in this or any other Preview. We all know what he can do. I see the second half opening up at 50 minutes and if we play a tight and destructive game up front I believe we could get one of the best results in the clubs history in the Premiership away from home. I don’t see their back three being able to deal with the very high ball; and I don’t see them coping at half back with our back row or 36 who will have a Hurricane performance this weekend as will Knight who if selected will ( my prediction) be Man of the Match. If Shaun Knight isn’t selected to start, then I see 36 getting the award on Saturday.
I would expect Cook to get selected at 15 again. He has received a bit of criticism from a few on here and John Barnes for his yellow carding and for being slightly out of position. I don’t want to see this preview set this already extended discussion from another posting start off again! But IMO as I have stated on that thread RC did the right thing given the team’s position and the fact we were down to 14 men and defending our line against a potentially lethal attack from Tigers. He has adapted to the premiership at 15 as well as anybody could have expected.
Very few players (whatever their experience) have adapted at 15 position as well as he has at Premiership level, in such a short period. I have heard nothing about Johnny May and if he was fit I would expect him to be on the bench as a replacement at Wing and possibly Full Back. Whatever his current situation, with what appeared to me at the time, as a far more serious injury than was reported; he will be back as soon as possible and gives a huge extra scenario’s in the line including Centre where I predict he will eventually end up. There has been some conjecture about Jonny’s longer term position at Gloucester. For now at least, he is in the squad and I would anticipate him remaining there for the foreseeable future. He is absolute class whatever his long term plans may bring.
Returning to Cook then if selected expect him to be in excellent form on the counter attack this weekend and also I see him scoring from linkage play.
The Stoop is never an easy place to travel to and we have has very mixed fortunes there over the seasons. We go there on Saturday as the team in form in the league and play the current Champions with arguably the best chance of an away bonus point than we have had in a while; especially in that part of London!. With Robshaw and Robson almost definitely not starting, with Joe Marler definitely out of the Squad and a big question mark over the fitness of mike Brown; we have the best opportunity of those bonus points against a top 4 team than we have had for a long while and I really do see us standing the best chance we have had in ages of going top of the table this Saturday.
It is only Tuesday but with the dark evenings descending and Halloween almost upon us, the Autumnal splendours of an almost complete squad await us for the first time in a few seasons; and the cold chill of change is likely to hit most clubs harder than it is going to hit Glaws over the next month or so.
Now is the time to show how far Nigel and Co have brought the squad this season. With every player putting their hands up a position in the starting 15 (other than the couple of injuries and two likely International unavailable) we are in a very strong position going into the next few rounds of Premiership rugby.
November is promising to be a great Month for us if we keep our resolve and focus. A real belief is around the Club and a realistic sense of expectation is coming back to Kingsholm at long last. Whatever has happened over the last season or two (and let’s be honest so much has happened around the Club) we are now heading firmly in the right direction under the new management that we have.
Saturday is promising to be another important chapter in the team’s re-emergence as a major force in English rugby. I personally can’t wait for this one. To me it’s the most important test so far this season and I believe we can win it and win it well. Come on Glaws!!!!!!!...
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 2012:11:01:18:44:50 by Bolly-Quin.